20/10/2019

FanDuel MLB DFS Picks – October 3rd


It was a night with previous night’s FanDuel MLB DFS Picks as Charlie Morton along with the Rays’ bullpen held the A’s to only one run — an unearned one.
We received a single and a walk from each Matt Chapman and Matt Olson while Mark Canha additional a stroll himself. Seth Brown and Brandon Lowe didn’t start as choices that are low-owned, so there simply was not much to speak of whatsoever from those picks.
We come back to the traditional structure within this slate which features a pair of NLDS matchups.
Let us get it!
P — Walker Buehler (LAD) — $10,200 vs. WAS
I am going to go with a cash-oriented lineup on this slate tonight and that includes rolling with an most highest-priced arm in the background in the form of the Dodgers’ Walker Buehler. Miles Mikolas and Dallas Keuchel just don’t supply the strikeout upside that I need and Patrick Corbin has not been nearly as great on the road as he’s been in the home, therefore Buehler offers the maximum security and strikeout upside that I want in my money lineups tonight. He also enjoyed a fantastic season in his first full season in the big leagues since Buehler made a 3.26 ERA to go along with a 3.01 FIP and 3.37 xFIP. His 10.61 K/9 clip that he authored this year represented an increase in the 9.90 mark he submitted in 2018 while the walk speed neared elite land with a little 1.83 BB/9 clip. Like his opponent Corbin, Buehler has been better at home this year as he owns a 2.86 ERA at Dodgers Stadium than a 3.66 mark over the road. His K-rate jumps from 10.19 K/9 around the road to some 11.04 mark at home while the walk speed at home finished at a minuscule 0.99 BB/9 mark in the regular season. There’s not much to dislike inside this matchup against a Nationals group Buehler that hits lefties better than they can do righties.
C/1B — Freddie Freeman (ATL) — $4,200 vs. STL
Even the Cardinals and Braves get together for their NLDS matchup tonight in Atlanta along with the Braves input this one wearing the highest projected run complete — by way — using a 5.2 mark since they take on right-hander Miles Mikolas. Much like Corbin and Buehler, Mikolas was much better at home that year, however he’ll be on the street with this 1 tonight where he posted a 5.40 ERA on the season and allowed opponents an .848 OPS and .354 wOBA from him. More to the point, his home run rate jumped out of 0.94 HR/9 in the home to a 1.73 mark around the street, so there’s certainly some targetability using Mikolas with this Braves offense. Freeman had his way with right-handed pitching this year because he put together a .280 ISO, 1.005 OPS, .412 wOBA along with 154 wRC+ against them this season while the power against righties increased a tiny bit at home using a .299 ISO against righties in SunTrust Park this season — a place that caters to airsoft electricity hitters. Freeman has enjoyed victory against Mikolas within their history against one another as he’s gone 3 for 10 (.300) with two homers from the Cardinals’ right-hander. He is the very first baseman for a reason.
2B — Kolten Wong (STL) — $2,600 vs. ATL
This lineup worked out flawlessly as I was able to get Wong following rostering my heap and a few Dodgers bats as well. Even the Wong would be in a matchup from the Dallas Keuchel in this 1, however when his regular season holds through for this one tonight, then the matchup is not as tough as it might appear on the surface. Wong brings with him some soda but also some stolen base upside as he swiped at 24 foundations to cooperate with four triples, 25 doubles and 11 home runs. Wong maintained his own against left-handed pitching this season with a .739 OPS, .317 wOBA and solid 97 wRC+. However, Wong did a ton of harm on the street this season using a .212 ISO and also .922 OPS in the street in comparison to a bad .069 ISO along with .654 OPS at home. He clubbed lefties to the tune of a .222 ISO, .910 OPS, .382 wOBA and a 139 wRC being his finest in any split this year. After stealing 1 base Wong swiped nine totes throughout September and August and chose it up on the basepaths. He is projected to hit from the two-hole that was valuable and I believe he could give us some production out of that spot tonight.
3B — Josh Donaldson (ATL) — $3,500 vs. STL
Donaldson bet with a bargain in Atlanta on himself this season and he has demonstrated that his elevated age means nothing as he is coming off a regular season that saw him club while playing 155 games on the year 37 home runs. Sure, it does not suit the MVP 2015 season with the Blue Jays, but he’s still amazingly productive, and the fantastic news with this 1 tonight is that he has been at his pitching at home that year. Against righties Donaldson posted a .271 ISO, .917 OPS, .381 wOBA along with also a 135 wRC+ — all of which are superior to his numbers against lefties, although those are good also. Having said that, Donaldson did a significant damage in the home this year where he put together a huge .328 ISO, 1.037 OPS, .426 wOBA and 163 wRC+. In addition, the actual damage in the home came from righties as he produced a .371 ISO, 1.137 OPS, .460 wOBA along with 186 wRC+ against righties in SunTrust Park this season. Just destroying right-handers in the home this year. Add it up and that I believe we will need to have Donaldson in almost any lineup tonight.
SS — Corey Seager (LAD) — $3,200 vs. WAS
As noted, the Dodgers open up their NLDS series at home against Patrick Corbin and the Nationals this evening, Also noted was that while Corbin had been lights-out in the home, he didn’t have his struggles at times on the road where he posted a 4.18 ERA over the season, nearly two complete runs greater than his 2.40 ERA he published at Nationals Park. It is a lefty-on-lefty matchup tonight with Corbin and Seager, also while Seager didn’t hit lefties also this season as he did a year ago he held his own and he walks a three-man Dodgers stack as a outcome. Injuries have slowed Seager’s rise to stardom, however he arrived back from Tommy John and stylish surgeries to hit 19 homers, post a .211 ISO and a 113 wRC+ while enjoying 134 matches in 2019. He posted only a .136 ISO at home against lefties, but also a decent .721 OPS and 97 wRC+ that places his bat just 3 percent below league average at house versus lefties. However, the principal reason I want him within this stack tonight is the simple fact that he’s sizzling-hot entering the postseason following producing a .326 ISO, .939 OPS, .379 wOBA along with 138 wRC+ at the month of September. He’s got a hit in 12 of the last 13 with five doubles, a triple, three homers, eight runs and 13 RBI in that moment. I search for him to reach the lefty within this one and will shoot the bat that is white-hot.
OF — Nick Markakis (ATL) — $2,800 vs. STL
I will complete my Brasves stack with a set of outfielders beginning here with Markakis whose creation continues to fly below the radar. The electricity is not going to blow you away as Markakis submitted a .135 ISO and eight home runs on the season, however you only need to get into his lefty-righty splits to see his true value at this price . Markakis doesn’t even begin against lefties and for good reason considering that his .653 OPS against them. However, Markakis’ bat is still very effective against righties as he’s posted an .816 OPS, .347 wOBA and 112 wRC+ from them this season. Much like Donaldson and Freeman before him, Markakis is going serious damage in this split at home from a righty this season as he submitted a .169 ISO, .890 OPS, .377 wOBA and a 132 wRC+ against right-handers in SunTrust Park this year. That 132 wRC+ is by far the very best amount in any divide following the 95 mark he set together on the street against righties this year. I really don’t like the 1 for 10 he has against Mikolas within his profession, but you know you are going to get quality at-bats from the unfazed veteran this time of this year, something that makes Markakis a sneaky-good worth pick on top of his numbers in this divide.
OF — Matt Joyce (ATL) — $2,400 vs. STL
I fully believe we will find some real nice worth out of Joyce and he is set to anchor this pile from the projected six hole yelling. With this stack, we ought to be receiving the 3-6 hitters from the Braves lineup, something I am really pleased about from a pitcher which struggled on the road and with players who have thrived this season against righties in this particular place. Joyce has made his cash throughout what has come to be a lengthy career, hitting against pitching and he has done exactly that with all the Braves here in 2019. Entering the playoffs, Joyce posted an .871 OPS, .377 wOBA along with 131 wRC+ against right-wing pitching this year. But once again we are dealing with a man who excelled against righties in the home with a .176 ISO, .942 OPS, .403 wOBA along with 149 wRC+ within this scenario. Like Markakis, we all know we will have individual, quality at-bats out of Joyce because he posted a massive 16% drop rate against righties and also a slightly increased 16.4% walk speed in the home against righties. His home run electricity has never been as prominent, but RBI chances should definitely be at the cards and he’d offer gigantic value if he can cash in on these tongiht.
OF — Chris Taylor (LAD) — $2,800 vs. WAS
I will complete my Dodgers three-man stack here with our last two roster spots, beginning with Taylor who had himself a massive regular period against left-handed poching, a thing I think will continue tonight despite having a challenging matchup against Corbin. During the past few seasons Taylor has struck both abandoned and right-handed throwing well, but he has excelled against left-handers this year with a big-time .262 ISO, .859 OPS, .350 wOBA and 120 wRC+ against them on the whole. He also continues a theme during this lineup as Taylor’s best split comes from the one that he finds himself tonight — in home versus a left handed pitcher. Taylor smacked lefties to the tune of a .282 ISO, .940 OPS, .381 wOBA along with a 140 wRC+. Taylor also offers us some stolen base upside down as he has swiped eight foundations in part duty this year, just two of which came from a left-handed pitcher. He’s also stolen a base across his 20 career at-bats against Corbin. His strikeout rate has elevated a little season, however that I think Taylor could symbolize one of the sneakier selections in this lineup because of his gaudy numbers at home against lefties this year.
UTIL — Justin Turner (LAD) — $3,200 vs. WAS
Completing this lineup along with also our three-man Dodgers pile is Turner who has once again mashed left handed this season, but also owns some amazing figures against Corbin. Add it together and that I think Turner could have some severe damage in this one tonight. Against lefties in 2019, Turner collect an eye-popping .294 ISO, .939 OPS, .385 wOBA along with a 142 wRC+ on this season. Just when we thought the home run electricity was in full reduction after a down year in that section last year, Turner mashed 27 homers this season and 12 against a left-handed pitcher. For some reason that I can not describe, Turner’s overall manufacturing has cratered in the home, however, as he published a .639 OPS and 64 wRC+ in home from lefties when compared with some enormous 1.183 OPS along with 204 wRC+ from lefties on the road. However, he posted a .222 ISO in the home this season, so I’m fine with it. I’m also fine with it because of the simple fact that Turner has gone 12 for 32 (.375) with 2 homers, three doubles and also a stolen base in his career against Corbin — the greatest overall numbers of almost any Dodger in this match. I am not hesitating only one bit to use the veteran lefty-masher within this pile tonight.

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