Seven teams got beat by double digits of those 2019 NFL year at Week 1 and today we are watching inflated spreads for Week two due to the overreaction and overcorrection of odds. But within the last five seasons, the teams that got wrecked in their opening game by 10 points or more have covered the spread 63 percent of the period in Week 2.
There were 34 cases of teams dropping by points in Week 1 and their album is still 21-12-1 ATS for Week two. That listing seemed so doubtful that I needed to double-check the outcome myself out of our stats guy (shout-out to May!) .
See the table below that exemplifies this trend and angles you could use for Week two:
Since you may see, that the ATS percentage doesn’t change much based on the sample size of last year, the last 3 seasons and the past five seasons. This isn’t me to take out a second mortgage and set it around the Dolphins +19??distribute vs the Patriots however there’s some virtue to throwing a bounce-back from teams in Week two by them keeping games close or winning straight (52.9% over last five decades ).
The seven groups that lost by 10 points or more would be Buccaneers, Steelers, Browns, Jaguars, Falcons, Giants and the Dolphins.
We would not be much of an authority on chances and trends if we did examine the flip side and find out the way that teams perform after crushing an opponent. According to the last five seasons, most teams which won by 10 points or more in Week 1 have only covered in 45.5 percent of their games in Week 2.
View the table below for the last three seasons, 2018 and last five seasons:
There’s a regression from these winners who is likely because guards finally have game footage which can pinpoint weaknesses and they won’t be caught off guard, as evidenced in the table over.
It is also because of inflated spreads which are not a true representation of those teams are ATS. For reference, the seven teams that won by 10 points or more in Week 1 are the Titans, Chiefs, Ravens, Vikings, Cowboys, 49ers and Patriots.
To find the latest betting odds have a look at our NFL Odds Page.