27/11/2019

How to Pick Your Winning Horse


So now you know how to put a bet at the horse races. With that bit of advice, you can visit any track in America and have a fantastic time picking a random horse and gambling your own $ 2 on every race. But if you are like most people, then your aim is not to simply pay $2 to see a bunch of horses run around a track. You truly want to win some money! That’s what makes horse racing”the most exciting two minutes in sports.” The suspense and thrill of understanding each race can make you a bit richer is overwhelming. You can not help yourself from jumping up, pumping your fist, and yelling”GO, BABY, GO!” As your horse turns the final corner on the monitor and makes a break for the guide.
However, how do you choose a winning horse? In fact, there are hundreds of books and thousands of websites on handicapping (that means picking) horses and everyone seems to have another opinion on what variables are the most significant to analyze when choosing a horse. While plain old luck is the biggest factor in whether you make or get rid of money (especially for beginning pickers), handicapping makes the races more enjoyable as it gives you a sense of control, as well as something to chew over between each race.
For the purposes of this article, I’m going to maintain the handicapping tips very, very fundamental. The goal is to give the first time race spectator enough information that he can go to a racetrack and not feel like he’s just randomly picking horses to win. I would love for all you horse racing junkies to chime in with your tips for our newcomer horseplayers.
Get familiarized with reading the race day program. Your ability to successfully handicap horses will depend upon your ability to read the race day schedule. The app is crammed with information that you can use to make smarter bets. Inside you’ll find a section for every race that day with the statistics and history on all of the horses racing in a particular race. The lines of numbers and lingo in a schedule can be a little intimidating at first, but with a little practice you’ll be studying like a (semi) expert in no time.
I could dedicate an whole post to describing how to read a race day program, but I will not. Equibase, the business that creates all of the race day programs for every single track from the U.S., has a fantastic interactive guide on how to read their race daytime programs. If you have been to the horse races play around with it until you proceed.
Look at what class levels the horse has been racing at. There are different levels of competition, or classes, in horse racing. As you go up in class, you’ll find better performing horses and higher purses. There are four race classes: maiden races, promising races, allowance races, and stakes races. Racetracks try to have races with horses at the exact same level of competition. Horses move up and down classes throughout the year based on their performance and a change in course can influence whether a horse will lose or win.
For example, let’s say the race you are gambling on is a $40,000 allowance race. You have your attention on a horse, in order to check its previous performance in the app. It looks like he’s been consistently coming in second and first, but you notice that his previous races have been claiming races. While it’s amazing that this horse was bumped up a course, in this specific race that he might be outclassed by the other horses who have expertise in performing in allowance races. So it may not be a fantastic idea to bet on this horse to win in this specific race.
Performance on surface type. Racetracks have different surfaces the horses operate on. Some have natural dirt and grass tracks while some have artificial”all-weather” tracks. Horses work differently on each type of surface. Some horses love dirt tracks, but do not enjoy the feel of artificial tracks and vice versa. The program tells you every horse’s past performance on the various surface types. If a horse has done well only on grime and the track you are in is an all-weather class, you might consider eliminating her from the list of possible picks.
History with jockey. I like to look at a jockey’s performance history in the app. If a jockey consistently places in first, second, or third no matter what horse he or she is riding, it’s a fantastic indicator of talent. So if I see that a fantastic jockey riding a horse for the first time that has always finished in the middle of the bunch, I might place a bet on that horse, reasoning that with the jockey’s additional skill this middle of this pack horse has a good chance of finishing in the top 2 areas.
I also check to find the background of a jockey with a particular horse. If I see a horse and jockey have always finished in the top three places together, there is a good chance they will end in the top 3 spots in the race that I am betting on.
Think about the odds. For each and every race, each horse is going to have the likelihood of it winning alongside its title in the app. The favorite to win would be your horse with the lowest odds. While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the figures reveal that over time going for the race favorite pays off. If you:
Bet the race favorite to win, he pays off 33% of the time.
Bet the race preferred to place (comes from 1st or 2nd), the favorite pays off 53 percent of their time.
Bet the race preferred to show (comes in 1st, 2nd, or 3rd), the favorite pays off 67% of their time.
So if you’re looking for an easy way to handicap horses which gives you a good chance of a small return on your cash, just bet the race favorite to show.Watch the horse in the paddock. This is my preferred way to handicap a horse. Before every race, the horses are paraded about in a place of the trail called the paddock. It provides you a chance to see how the horse appears and is behaving before the race begins. Once I have winnowed my list of choices to two or three horses with all the info from the program, I like to go over to the paddock to have a gander at the way the horses look. Just like you and me, horses have good and bad times. Sometimes once you wake up in the morning you’re raring to go and other times you come down with a case of the Mondays. Same with horses.
See the horses to realize how they are behaving. Can they seem peppy and eager to race? Mopey and Eeyore-like? Check to find out if a horse is sweating a good deal. You can tell he is sweating because he’ll have big dark splotches on his coat. If he’s sweating a good deal, it probably means the horse is nervous. Sweat stains by the kidneys indicate that the horse is not feeling great, so you may want to pass on him. Some horses will behave really jittery in the paddock–turning in circles, biting, rearing. While it’s a indication that the horse has some spunk, he’s wasting all his energy at the paddock instead of saving it to the race. Proceed with the awake, but calm horse.
On the lookout for all these indications with the horses isn’t very scientific, but it’s a lot of fun.
Random, superstitious factors. Of course, it is possible to just use some random superstitious factor to handicap your own horse. You can choose the horse that is wearing your lucky number or your favourite colour. Or you may select the horse since you prefer the name. A lot of racegoers have their very own silly disability factors they utilize. Come up with your own.
Last Minute Tips
You don’t have to bet on each race. For the beginner, the temptation would be to wager on each and every race in the app. While there is definitely 1 horse that will win each race, the astute horseplayer culls the entire program for the best stakes and might, conceivably, just wager a couple of races out of the entire card (card would be the term for all the races that day).
Decide on a budget and earn cash in that sum. If you think that may get carried away with your gambling, simply bring a set amount of money. When it is done, you’re done.
Wear a hat. There are few places these days in which a hat doesn’t look strange. The racetrack is one of them

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