27/11/2019

How to Pick Your Winning Horse


So now you understand how to put a bet at the horse races. With that bit of advice, you can visit any track in the united states and have a fantastic time picking a random horse and betting your own $ 2 on every race. But if you’re like most people, then your goal is not to only pay $2 to watch a bunch of horses run around a course. You actually want to win some money! That’s what makes horse racing”the most exciting two minutes in sport .” The suspense and thrill of understanding each race can cause you to be a bit richer is overwhelming. You can not help yourself from jumping up, pumping your fist, and yelling”GO, BABY, GO!” As your horse turns the last corner on the track and makes a break for the lead.
However, how do you pick a winning horse? In fact, there are hundreds of books and thousands of websites on handicapping (that means picking) horses and everyone seems to have a different opinion on what variables are the most significant to analyze when choosing a horse. While plain old luck is the largest factor in whether you make or lose money (particularly for beginning pickers), handicapping makes the races much more fun because it gives you a sense of control, in addition to something to chew over between every race.
For the purposes of this post, I’m going to maintain the handicapping tips very, very basic. The goal is to give the first-time race spectator enough information that he can go to a racetrack and not feel like he is just randomly choosing horses to win. I’d love for all you horse racing junkies to chime in with your tips for our beginner horseplayers.
Get familiarized with reading the race day schedule. Your ability to successfully disability horses depends upon your ability to browse the race day program. The app is crammed with details which you may use to make smarter bets. Inside you’ll find a section for each race that day together with the history and statistics on all of the horses racing in a special race. The lines of amounts and lingo in a schedule can be a little intimidating at first, but with a little practice you’ll be studying like a (semi) pro in no time.
I could devote an entire post to explaining how to read a race day program, but I will not. Equibase, the business that produces all of the race day programs for every track from the U.S., has a fantastic interactive guide about the best way best to read their race day programs. If you have never been to the horse races before, play around with it before you go.
Look at what course levels the horse has been rushing at. There are various degrees of competition, or courses, in horse racing. As you go up in class, you are going to find better acting horses and higher purses. You will find four race courses: maiden races, promising races, allowance races, and stakes races. Racetracks attempt to have races with horses at the same degree of competition. Horses move down and up classes throughout the year depending on their functionality and oftentimes a change in course can influence whether or not a horse will lose or win.
For instance, let’s say the race you’re betting on is a $40,000 allowance race. You have your eye on a horse, so you check its past performance in the program. It looks like he’s been coming in first and second, but you notice that his prior races have all been promising races. While it’s amazing that this horse has been bumped up a course, in this specific race he might be outclassed by the other horses who have expertise in performing in allowance races. So it may not be a good idea to bet on this horse to win in this particular race.
Past performance on surface type. Racetracks have various surfaces the horses operate on. Some have natural dirt and grass tracks while some possess artificial”all-weather” tracks. Horses perform differently on each type of surface. Some horses love dirt paths, but do not like the sense of tracks that are artificial and vice versa. The program tells you each horse’s previous performance on the various surface types. When a horse has done well only on dirt and the track you’re in is an all-weather course, you may think about eliminating her from your list of possible selections.
History with jockey. I like to check at a jockey’s performance history in this program. If a jockey consistently places in first, second, or third no matter what horse he or she’s riding, it’s a fantastic indicator of gift. If I see that a good jockey riding a horse for the very first time which has always finished in the middle of the bunch, I would place a bet on that horse, justification that using the jockey’s additional ability this middle of this pack horse has a fantastic chance of finishing in the top two spots.
I also check to see that the background of a jockey with a particular horse. If I see a horse and jockey have always finished in the top few places together, there’s a fantastic chance they’ll end in the top 3 places in the race which I’m betting on.
Think about the chances. For every race, every horse is going to have the likelihood of it winning next to its name in the app. The best way to win is your horse with the lowest odds. While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the statistics reveal that over time going for the race favorite pays off. If you:
Bet the race favorite to win, ” he pays 33% of the time.
Bet the race preferred to place (comes in 1st or 2nd), the favorite pays off 53% of the time.
Bet the race favorite to reveal (comes from 1st, 2nd, or 3rd), the favorite pays off 67% of their time.
So if you’re looking for an easy way to handicap horses which gives you a fantastic chance of a little return on your money, just bet the race favorite to show.Watch the horse in the paddock. This is my favorite way to handicap a horse. Before each race, the horses are paraded around in a place of the trail called the paddock. It provides you a chance to see how the horse appears and is acting before the race begins. Once I’ve winnowed my list of choices to 2 or three horses with all the info in the app, I love to go on to the paddock to have a gander at how the horses look. Just like you and me, horses have good and bad times. Sometimes when you awake in the morning you’re raring to go and other times you develop a case of the Mondays. Same with horses.
See the horses to see how they are behaving. Can they seem peppy and excited to race? Mopey and Eeyore-like? Check to see if a horse is sweating a lot. You can tell he is sweating because he will have large dark splotches on his coat. If he’s sweating a lot, it likely means that the horse is anxious. Sweat spots by the kidneys demonstrate that the horse is not feeling good, so you might want to pass him on. Some horses will behave really jittery in the paddock–turning in circles, biting, rearing. As soon as it’s a sign that the horse gets some spunk, he’s squandering all his energy in the paddock rather than saving it to the race. Proceed with the awake, but calm horse.
On the lookout for all these signs with the horses is not very scientific, but it’s a good deal of fun.
Random, superstitious factors. Of course, it is possible to simply use some random superstitious aspect to handicap your horse. It is possible to choose the horse that is wearing your lucky number or your own favorite color. Or you can select the horse because you like the title. A lot of racegoers have their very own silly disability factors they use. Come up with your own.
Last Minute Tips
You don’t have to bet on every race. For the beginner, the temptation is to wager on each and every race in the program. Even though there is definitely one horse that will win every race, the astute horseplayer culls that the whole program for the best stakes and may, possibly, only bet two or three races out of the full card (card would be the term for all the races daily ).
Decide on a budget and bring cash in that sum. If you think you might get carried away with your gambling, simply bring a fixed quantity of money. When it is done, you are done.
Wear a hat. There are few places nowadays in which a hat doesn’t look strange. The racetrack is one of these

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