27/11/2019

How to Pick Your Winning Horse


So now you know how to place a bet at the horse races. With that piece of advice, you can go to any track in America and have a fantastic time picking a random horse and gambling your $2 on every race. But if you’re like most people, your aim is not to simply pay $2 to watch a bunch of horses run around a course. You actually want to win some cash! That’s what makes horse racing”the most exciting two minutes in sport .” The suspense and thrill of knowing that each race can cause you to be a bit wealthier is overpowering. You can’t help yourself from leaping up, pumping your fist, and yelling”GO, BABY, GO!” As your horse turns the last corner on the track and makes a break for the lead.
However, how do you pick a winning horse? There are literally hundreds of books and thousands of websites on handicapping (that means picking) horses and everyone appears to have a different opinion on what factors are the most significant to analyze when choosing a horse. While plain old luck is the biggest factor in whether you make or get rid of money (especially for beginning pickers), handicapping makes the races more enjoyable as it gives you an idea of control, as well as something to think over between every race.
For the purposes of this post, I’m going to maintain the handicapping tips very, very basic. The target is to provide the first time race spectator enough advice he can go to a racetrack and not feel like he is just randomly choosing horses to acquire. I’d love for all you horse racing junkies to chime in with your hints for our beginner horseplayers.
Get familiarized with reading the race day program. Your capacity to successfully disability horses depends upon your ability to browse the race day program. The app is crammed with details which you may use to make smarter bets. In it you’ll find a section for every race that day with the history and statistics on all the horses rushing in a particular race. The lines of numbers and lingo in a schedule can be a bit intimidating at first, but with a little practice you will be reading like a (semi) pro in no time.
I could devote an whole post to explaining how to read a race day program, but I won’t. Equibase, the business that creates all the race day programs for every single track from the U.S., has a great interactive guide on how best to read their race day programs. If you have never been to the horse races play about with it before you go.
Look at what class levels the horse has been racing at. There are various degrees of competition, or courses, in horse racing. As you move up in class, you’ll find better performing horses and greater purses. There are four race classes: maiden races, promising races, allowance races, and stakes races. Racetracks try to have races with horses at exactly the exact same level of competition. Horses move up and down courses throughout the year depending on their functionality and a change in class can affect whether or not a horse will win or lose.
For example, let us say the race you’re gambling on is a $40,000 allowance race. You’ve got your attention on a horse, in order to check its past performance in the program. It looks like he’s been coming in first and second, but you notice that his prior races have all been claiming races. While it’s amazing that this horse was bumped up a class, in this specific race that he might be outclassed by the other horses who have experience in performing in allowance races. So it might not be a fantastic idea to bet on this horse to win in this specific race.
Past performance on surface type. Racetracks have different surfaces the horses operate on. Some have organic dirt and grass tracks while others have artificial”all-weather” tracks. Horses work differently on each kind of surface. Some horses love dirt paths, but don’t enjoy the feel of artificial tracks and vice versa. The program tells you every horse’s previous performance on the various surface types. If a horse has performed well only on dirt and the track you’re in is an all-weather class, you may think about eliminating her from your list of possible picks.
History . I love to look at a jockey’s performance history in the app. If a jockey consistently places in first, second, or third no matter what horse he or she is riding, it’s a good indicator of talent. So if I see that a fantastic jockey riding a horse for the first time which has consistently finished in the middle of the pack, I would place a wager on that horse, justification that using the jockey’s added skill this midst of this pack horse has a good chance of finishing in the top 2 spots.
In addition, I check to see the background of a jockey with a specific horse. If I see that a horse and jockey have consistently finished in the top few places together, there is a fantastic chance they’ll end in the top three spots in the race that I’m betting on.
Think about the chances. For each and every race, every horse will have the likelihood of it winning alongside its name in the program. The favorite to win would be the horse with the lowest odds. While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the statistics show that over time going for the race preferred pays off. If you:
Bet the race favorite to win, ” he pays off 33% of the time.
Bet the race favorite to place (comes from 1st or 2nd), the preferred pays off 53 percent of their time.
Bet the race favorite to reveal (comes from 1st, 2nd, or 3rd), the favorite pays off 67 percent of the time.
So if you’re looking for an easy way to handicap horses which gives you a fantastic chance of a little return on your cash, just bet the race favorite to show.Watch the horse in the paddock. This is my preferred way to handicap a horse. Before every race, the horses are paraded about in an area of the trail known as the paddock. It gives you an opportunity to observe how the horse looks and is behaving before the race begins. Once I’ve winnowed my list of choices to two or three horses with all the info from the program, I love to go on to the paddock to have a gander at how the horses look. Just like you and me, horses have good and bad times. Sometimes once you awake in the morning you are raring to go along with other times you come down with a case of the Mondays. Same with horses.
Watch the horses to realize how they’re behaving. Do they seem peppy and excited to race? Mopey and Eeyore-like? Check to see if a horse is sweating a good deal. You can tell he’s sweating because he’ll have large dark splotches on his coat. If he is sweating a lot, it likely means the horse is nervous. Sweat spots by the kidneys demonstrate that the horse isn’t feeling good, so you may want to pass on him. Some horses will act very jittery from the paddock–turning in circles, biting, rearing. While it’s a sign that the horse gets some spunk, he’s squandering all his energy in the paddock instead of saving it to the race. Proceed with the awake, but calm horse.
On the lookout for these signs with the horses is not very scientific, but it’s a good deal of fun.
Random, superstitious facets. Obviously, it is possible to simply use some arbitrary superstitious aspect to disability your own horse. You can pick the horse that’s wearing your lucky number or your own favourite color. Or you can pick the horse since you like the title. A lot of racegoers have their very own silly disability factors they utilize. Come up with your own.
Last Minute Tips
You do not need to bet on every race. For the beginner, the temptation is to wager on each and every race in the program. Even though there’s definitely 1 horse which will win each race, the astute horseplayer culls that the whole program for the best stakes and might, conceivably, only bet a couple of races out of the full card (card would be the term for all the races that day).
Set a budget and earn cash in that amount. If you believe that might get carried away with your gambling, simply bring a fixed quantity of money. Once it is done, you are done.
Wear a hat. There are only a few venues these days in which a hat does not look strange. The racetrack is one of these

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