27/11/2019

How to Pick Your Winning Horse


So now you understand how to put a bet at the horse races. With that piece of info, you can go to any track in America and have a fantastic time picking a random horse and betting your own $ 2 on every race. But if you are like most people, your goal isn’t to only pay $2 to watch a lot of horses run around a course. You actually need to win some cash! That’s what makes horse racing”the most exciting two minutes in sport ” The suspense and thrill of understanding that each race can make you a bit richer is overpowering. You can’t help yourself from leaping up, pumping your fistand yelling”GO, BABY, GO!” As your horse turns the final corner on the monitor and makes a break for the guide.
However, how do you choose a winning horse? In fact, there are hundreds of books and thousands of websites on handicapping (so choosing ) horses and everyone seems to have another opinion on what factors are the most significant to analyze when choosing a horse. While plain old luck is the biggest factor in whether you make or get rid of money (particularly for beginning pickers), handicapping makes the races much more fun as it gives you an idea of control, in addition to something to chew over between each race.
For the purposes of the article, I’m likely to maintain the handicapping tips really, very fundamental. The goal is to give the first-time race spectator enough advice that he can go to a racetrack and not feel like he is just randomly choosing horses to acquire. I’d love for all you horse racing junkies to chime in with your hints for our beginner horseplayers.
Get familiar with studying the race day program. Your capacity to successfully disability horses depends upon your ability to browse the race day schedule. The app is packed with details which you may use to make smarter bets. In it you’ll find a section for each race that day together with the statistics and history on all the horses rushing in a particular race. The traces of numbers and lingo in a program can be a little intimidating at first, but with a little practice you’ll be reading like a (semi) pro in no time.
I could dedicate an whole article to describing how to read a race day program, but I will not. Equibase, the company that produces all the race day programs for every track from the U.S., has a fantastic interactive guide about the best way to read their race daytime apps. If you’ve been to the horse races play about with it before you proceed.
Look at what course levels the horse was rushing at. There are various degrees of competition, or classes, in horse racing. As you go up in class, you are going to find better performing horses and greater purses. There are four race courses: maiden races, promising races, allowance races, and stakes races. Racetracks try to have races with horses at exactly the same level of competition. Horses move up and down classes throughout the year depending on their performance and a change in class can influence whether or not a horse will lose or win.
For instance, let’s say the race you are betting on is a 40,000 allowance race. You’ve got your attention on a horse, so you assess its previous performance in the app. It looks like he has been coming in first and second, but you notice that his prior races have been promising races. While it’s great that this horse was bumped up a course, in this specific race he might be outclassed by the other horses that have expertise in performing in allowance races. So it might not be a good idea to bet on this horse to win in this specific race.
Beyond performance on surface type. Racetracks have different surfaces the horses operate on. Some have natural dirt and grass tracks while others have artificial”all-weather” tracks. Horses perform differently on each type of surface. Some horses love dirt tracks, but don’t enjoy the feel of tracks that are artificial and vice versa. The program tells you every horse’s past performance on the various surface types. When a horse has done well solely on grime and the track you’re in is an all-weather course, you may think about removing her from the list of possible picks.
History with jockey. I like to look at a jockey’s performance history in this program. If a jockey consistently places in first, second, or third no matter what horse he or she is riding, it’s a fantastic indicator of talent. So if I see a good jockey riding a horse for the very first time that has always finished in the middle of the bunch, I would place a bet on that horse, reasoning that with the jockey’s additional skill this middle of the pack horse has a fantastic chance of finishing in the top two spots.
In addition, I check to find that the history of a jockey with a particular horse. If I see a horse and jockey have consistently finished in the top few places together, there’s a fantastic chance they’ll end in the top 3 spots in the race that I’m betting on.
Think about the chances. For each and every race, each horse will have the likelihood of it winning next to its name in the program. The favorite to win would be the horse with the lowest odds. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the statistics show that over time opting for the race preferred pays off. If you:
Bet the race favorite to win, he pays off 33% of the time.
Bet the race favorite to put (comes in 1st or 2nd), the preferred pays off 53% of the time.
Bet the race favorite to show (comes in 1st, 2nd, or 3rd), the favorite pays off 67 percent of their time.
Therefore, if you’re looking for a simple way to handicap horses that gives you a fantastic prospect of a small return on your money, just bet the race preferred to show.Watch the horse in the paddock. This is my preferred way to handicap a horse. Before every race, the horses are paraded around in an area of the trail called the paddock. It gives you a chance to observe how the horse looks and is acting before the race starts. Once I have winnowed my list of picks to 2 or three horses with all the info from the program, I love to go over to the paddock to have a gander at how the horses seem. Just like me and you, horses have good and bad times. Sometimes once you awake in the morning you’re raring to go and other times you come down with a case of the Mondays. Same with horses.
See the horses to see how they are behaving. Can they look peppy and eager to race? Mopey and Eeyore-like? Check to find out whether a horse is sweating a good deal. You can tell he’s sweating because he’ll have big dark splotches on his jacket. If he’s sweating a good deal, it probably means that the horse is nervous. Sweat stains by the kidneys indicate that the horse is not feeling great, so you might want to pass on him. Some horses will behave really jittery in the paddock–turning in circles, biting, rearing. As soon as it’s a sign that the horse has some spunk, he’s squandering all his energy in the paddock rather than saving it to the race. Go with the awake, but calm horse.
On the lookout for all these indications with the horses isn’t very scientific, but it’s a good deal of fun.
Random, superstitious facets. Obviously, it is possible to simply use some random superstitious factor to handicap your own horse. It is possible to pick the horse that is wearing your lucky number or your own favourite colour. Or you can pick the horse because you like the title. A lot of racegoers have their very own silly handicap factors they utilize. Come up with your own.
Last Minute Tips
You do not need to bet on each race. For the beginner, the temptation would be to wager on every single race in the program. While there’s definitely 1 horse which will win each race, the astute horseplayer culls the whole program for the best stakes and might, possibly, only wager a couple of races out of the entire card (card would be the term for all of the races that day).
Decide on a budget and earn cash in that sum. If you think that may get carried away with your gambling, only bring a fixed quantity of cash. When it is done, you’re done.
Put on a hat. There are few places these days where a hat does not look out of place. The racetrack is one of them

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