04/10/2019

NASCAR at Bristol odds, key stats, bets to consider: Finding value in matchup props


Following a weekend at Texas, NASCAR heads to Bristol Motor Speedway for the eighth race of the 2019 Cup Series season.

Sunday’s 500-lap Food City 500 marks the next race on a half-mile monitor this year, but Bristol’s unique concrete layout with steep banking is actually more similar to Dover’s one-mile track than Martinsville. Kevin Harvick, kyle Busch and Chase Elliott have graced victory lane the 3 races.

Busch is currently Sunday’s race favored at 5/2 odds in the Westgate SuperBook, with Harvick and Elliott priced at 12/1 and 14/1, respectively. Busch, who has finished in the top 10 in each of NASCAR’s seven races this season, leads active drivers with seven wins at Bristol. In total, Busch has listed 10 top-five and 15 top-10 finishes.

Even though Busch is hot this season, Harvick isn’t, especially by his lofty standards. He has led only 133 laps through seven races — and he has led laps in just two races. He’s led just 22 laps at Bristol over the past four races there but has finished within the top 10.

Thinking about the stiff betting matchups oddsmakers have Harvick in –from Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano and Kyle Larson — it is tough to trust Harvick together with the rules bundle being used this week.

Rules package

At Bristol, the Cup Series will operate the 2019 rules bundle tailored for short paths (less than 1.33 miles) and street classes. A 1.17-inch tapered spacer will be utilized, with engines expected to create roughly 750 horsepower. No aero ducts will be utilized. This weekend’s configuration of the 2019 rules package is going to be utilized at 14 occasions in total this season. The 1.17-inch tapered spacer was first utilized this season at 1-mile ISM Raceway on March 10 in Phoenix at a race won by Kyle Busch.

Recent Bristol winners
2018 Fall: Kurt Busch
2018 Spring: Kyle Busch
2017 Fall: Kyle Busch
2017 Spring: Jimmie Johnson

Recent Dover winners
2018 Fall: Chase Elliott
2018 Spring: Kevin Harvick
2017 Fall: Kyle Busch
2017 Spring: Jimmie Johnson

MORE: Chances

Odds to win 2019 Food City 500 in Bristol

Odds provided by Westgate

Kyle BUSCH 5/2
Kyle LARSON 7/1
Brad KESELOWSKI 8/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Kevin HARVICK 12/1
Ryan BLANEY 12/1
Denny HAMLIN 14/1
Erik JONES 14/1
Kurt BUSCH 14/1
Martin TRUEX JR 14/1
Clint BOWYER 14/1
Chase ELLIOTT 14/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 25/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 25/1
Alex BOWMAN 60/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Austin DILLON 80/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 300/1
Daniel HEMRIC 300/1
Ryan PREECE 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 1000/1
David RAGAN 5000/1
FIELD (all others) 1000/1

Read more: http://www.cetemet.es/mma-odds-and-ends-for-wednesday-gastelum-out-of-ufc-195-manuwa-vs-krylov-rumored-for-ufc-london/