Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 28-54 The Bet: Beneath with marginal confidence Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record could not quite match their over/under of 49.5. Back in 2014-15, they arrived 23.5 games short of reaching their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they had their over/under place at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 record fell well shy of the 38.5 over/under.
Each year, Vegas provides a realistic expectation, listens as the people works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market team and then (probably) collectively laughs as its forecast either turns out accurate or overly optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than one match was 2012-13, and the roster was a bit different. So should this season break the mould?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is talented. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower to the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will most likely be full of cheering fans, even if a few (many?) Of these will probably be rooting on the resistance.
However, Carmelo Anthony remains on the roster, and there is no end in sight to the never-ending will-they-won’t-they exchange saga. Ramon Sessions, Frank Ntilikina and Ron Baker include the point-guard spinning. Convincing thickness exists at zero positions.
Please. Do not wager on the Knicks to win more than 30 games.
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