Vegas Over/Under: 28.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 26-56 The Bet: Prevent but lean under
The Phoenix Suns are oozing with possible, which makes this kind of terrifying bet. Even if you can reasonably expect the group to complete with no more than 28 wins (and you can), you do not want to get captured by a breakout from Marquese Chriss, Dragan Bender, Josh Jackson, Devin Booker or T.J. Warren.
Individually, it’s hard to expect massive strides from any one participant.
That is true of Booker, who has quite a ways to go on the defensive end before he can have the value of a top-50 contributor, however many things he may have the ability to score in one farcical game. And when you’re fouling to create extra possessions and pump up the score during a competition in which the perimeter was not particularly close, it qualifies as farcical. Fun and undeniably impressive, similar to Wilt Chamberlain’s 100-point outburst, but farcical.
Collectively, however, the Suns’ ability to transcend expectations is scary. Marginal improvement across the board could create our win projection laughably low, irrespective of how tough it could be to compete in the Western Conference.
Over just is not the bet. The wise play stays anticipating only a few extra wins upon last season’s mark (24-58) since the young men get their feet wet and the group probably explores the trade market for Eric Bledsoe.